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5 กิจกรรมสนุก ๆ รับซัมเมอร์นี้
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ในที่สุดฤดูร้อนก็มาถึงแล้ว! อย่างไรก็ตามความตื่นเต้นของฤดูกาลที่รอคอยมากที่สุดได้หายไปเล็กน้อยท่ามกลางการแพร่ระบาด เป็นเรื่องปกติมากที่จะเบื่อและคิดถึงยุคโรคระบาดเพราะเราถูกขังอยู่ในบ้านอย่างปลอดภัย นั่นคือวันที่เราทำแผนฤดูร้อนเต็มรูปแบบ ทุกอย่างเป็นไปได้ตั้งแต่วันหยุดพักผ่อนไปจนถึงการสังสรรค์กับเพื่อน ๆ แต่ชีวิตเปลี่ยนไปสำหรับทุกคนและเราไม่สามารถทำอะไรกับมันได้ เพื่อให้เกิดประโยชน์สูงสุดเราได้จัดทำโซลูชันเสมือนจริงสองสามอย่างเพื่อ "รักษาความปลอดภัยและสุขภาพที่ดี" ไว้ที่บ้าน อ่านต่อเพื่อค้นหาวิธีแก้ปัญหาเหล่านี้ การเปิดตัว OTT ล่าสุดของ Binge-watch เรารู้ว่านี่เป็น "สิ่งสนุก ๆ " ที่คุณสามารถหาได้จากเว็บไซต์ออนไลน์ใด ๆ ปีที่แล้วเราเห็น OTT ออกมามากมายและมันก็คุ้มค่า มีซีรีส์และภาพยนตร์หลายเรื่องที่คาดว่าจะดึงดูดคุณได้ยาวนานที่สุดในปีนี้เช่นกัน นอกจากนี้ยังเป็นวิธีที่ดีที่สุดในการฆ่าเวลาในระหว่างการกักกัน บางทีการผูกพันกับคนที่รักอาจเป็นข้อแก้ตัวที่ดี เตรียมของว่างที่คุณชื่นชอบและเพลิดเพลินไปกับความสนุกสนานละครและความบันเทิงที่จริงจัง! การเล่นเกมออนไลน์การเล่นเกมเป็นหนึ่งในกิจกรรมยามว่างที่ได้รับความนิยมมากที่สุด ผู้ที่ไม่ใช่นักเล่นเกมจำนวนมากหันมาใช้โลกแห่งความเป็นจริงเช่นเดียวกับเกมออนไลน์เพื่อเอาชนะความเบื่อหน่ายจากการล็อก มีเกมมากมายที่คุณสามารถเล่นออนไลน์ได้ คุณสามารถเริ่มต้นด้วยเกมโปรดที่คุณชื่นชอบในโลกแห่งความเป็นจริง ตัวอย่างเช่นเหล้ารัมของอินเดียเป็นที่นิยมอย่างมากและมีผู้เล่นหลายล้านคนที่ชื่นชอบเกมนี้ ผู้ให้บริการรัมมี่ออนไลน์ยอดนิยมเช่น Junglee Rummy เป็นเจ้าภาพจัดการแข่งขันที่น่าตื่นเต้นทุกสัปดาห์และทุกเดือน ผู้เล่นสามารถแสดงทักษะของตนเองและรับรางวัลที่น่าทึ่งรวมถึงรูปีและรางวัลเงินสดเทียบเท่ากับรูปี การเล่นเกมออนไลน์อย่างรัมมี่นั้นสนุกและน่าตื่นเต้นแม้ว่าจะปิดอยู่ก็ตาม Board Game Night ใครเกลียดเกมกระดาน? ฉันไม่รู้! ในอดีตฤดูร้อนเป็นเกมกระดานทั้งหมด ตั้งแต่ลูโดไปจนถึงคาร์รอมคุณต้องเติบโตมาพร้อมกับการเล่นเกมที่ยอดเยี่ยมกับเพื่อนและครอบครัวของคุณ การรื้อฟื้นความทรงจำเก่า ๆ ในปี 2021 เป็นอย่างไรบ้าง? ทำความสะอาดสิ่งสกปรกบนกระดานคาร์อมหรือกระดานหมากรุกและเชิญเพื่อนของคุณมาร่วมสนุกกับเกมกระดานยามค่ำคืน บางทีคุณอาจวางแผนการแข่งขันทั้งหมดและเล่นด้วยเงินเดิมพันเพื่อเพิ่มความสนุกเป็นสองเท่า คุณยังสามารถให้ของว่างแก่เพื่อนของคุณเพื่อเล่นเกมหลาย ๆ เกมและจัดปาร์ตี้เล็ก ๆ เนื่องจากการแพร่ระบาดของแฮงเอาท์กลุ่มเสมือนทำให้หลายคนทำงานอยู่ที่บ้านอย่างถาวรและดูเหมือนจะขาดการติดต่อกับโลกภายนอก โชคดีที่มีหลายวิธีในการติดต่อกันโดยไม่ได้พบกับคนที่คุณรัก ด้วยเทคโนโลยีทำให้เราสามารถติดต่อกับญาติและเพื่อนทางไกลได้ ดังนั้นหากคุณพลาดโทรหรือแฮงเอาท์วิดีโอหรือส่งข้อความ แฮงเอาท์กลุ่มเสมือนได้รับความนิยมอย่างมากในช่วงปีที่ผ่านมา ผู้คนติดตั้งแอปอย่าง Google Duo หรือ Zoom และเชื่อมต่อกับผู้คนทั่วโลก !! เรียนรู้ทักษะใหม่ ๆ การเรียนรู้ทักษะใหม่ ๆ จะไม่มีวันล้าสมัย มีเวลาว่างมากมายที่คุณสามารถใช้มันได้หากคุณเรียนรู้ทักษะใหม่ ๆ หากคุณเป็นมืออาชีพในการทำงานคุณสามารถเรียนหลักสูตรออนไลน์เพื่อยกระดับทักษะของคุณได้ หากคุณเป็นนักเรียนคุณสามารถเลือกเรียนภาษาใหม่หรือการเขียนโปรแกรมคอมพิวเตอร์ได้ หากคุณมีกีตาร์อยู่ในร้านคุณสามารถเข้าร่วมหลักสูตรการเรียนรู้กีตาร์ออนไลน์และใช้งานได้ ไม่ว่าคุณจะเรียนรู้ทักษะใดคุณก็จะได้รับประโยชน์จากทักษะนั้นไม่ทางใดก็ทางหนึ่งเสมอ เราหวังว่าวิธีการเหล่านี้จะช่วยคุณและเข้าร่วมการเดินทางของเราเพื่ออยู่ร่วมกันในสัปดาห์ที่อบอุ่นของปี เล่นรัมมี่ออนไลน์และรับรางวัลสุดพิเศษเพื่อทำให้ฤดูร้อนเป็นที่จดจำ ลงทะเบียนสำหรับแพลตฟอร์มที่มีการใช้งานมากที่สุด Junglee Rummy และรับโบนัสต้อนรับ $ 5250 ในบัญชีของคุณ เกมสนุก!
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Ersan Ilyasova’s offseason patience pays off
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Free agency had ended but, for Ersan Ilyasova, the work had just begun. Scroll through the forward’s Instagram account, and you’d get a taste of how an NBA veteran stays busy when he doesn’t have an NBA contract. You’d see drill after sweat-soaking drill in a high school gymnasium. You’d see him get shots up in a blizzard. “No excuses,” he says. “I tried to work on my game every day,” Ilyasova said. “I truly believed an opportunity would come at some point. I always tried to be ready — to practice and lift, whatever it takes. And after months of work, finally, you’d see Ilyasova in a Utah Jazz uniform. “For this opportunity to come up, it’s a great one,” the forward said Thursday after his first practice in Salt Lake City. “I’m looking forward to it.” The Jazz officially added Ilyasova to their roster Wednesday, bolstering the team’s already deep bench in preparation for an even deeper playoff run. “I see it’s a great group of guys,” Ilyasova said. “The communication is there. They trust each other. I watched the games before — the way they play and the chemistry is at a high level. When you see the way they play, share the ball, move the ball, everybody back each other, this is what it takes to win a championship.” Ilyasova’s C.V. includes more than 850 regular season and playoff appearances over 12 years in the NBA. The Turkish forward averaged 20 minutes per game in the 2018 postseason with the 76ers. He logged 18 minutes a night in the playoffs two seasons with the Milwaukee Bucks. “He’s a pro,” Jazz head coach Quin Snyder said. “Any time you have that type of experience, it’s something you bring to the entire group.” The coach called Ilyasova’s skill set and personality a “plug-and-play” fit for this Jazz team. The team’s front office wouldn’t have come calling otherwise. “One thing we’re really conscious of is the chemistry of the team,” Snyder said. “Ersan wants to be a part of that. I think he’s anxious to contribute in any way that he can.” Ilyasova can provide even more size and shooting to the Jazz’s frontcourt. The forward stands 6-foot-9 and has shot 36.5 percent from 3 over his career. “This is the way I play,” Ilyasova said. “Obviously unselfish. If you’re open shoot. Share the ball. Pick up your guy.” But how quickly Ilyasova finds his role in Utah remains to be seen. “He’s got to assimilate. There’s a lot for him to get exposed to. But being a smart, intelligent player, a guy that knows how to play, he’ll fit in well,” Snyder said. “We don’t expect him to show up and be ready right away. That’s not to say he won’t be. But there’s an adjustment period and we’re patient with him. I want him to be patient with himself.” When it comes to waiting for the right moment, Ilyasova has already shown his willingness to be patient this season. “This team of course is having a great season,” he said. “I try to not interrupt and at the same time just kind of learn. As the season goes, I will pick it up.”
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When Relationships Fall Victim to Problem Gambling
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Many celebrate love, romance, and relationships during February and on Valentine’s Day. While no relationship is perfect, some endure significant hardship due to the presence of addiction, and gambling addiction is no exception. Did you know that relationship problems have been the top reported reason for seeking help by contacts to the 888-ADMIT-IT HelpLine for more than a decade? Contrary to social stigmas, individuals who struggle with problem gambling are not able to simply stop. Gambling addiction rewires the brain much in the same way as substance abuse, yet the symptoms are unseen, leaving loved ones unaware until the gambler hits “rock bottom.” Feelings like shame, guilt, and stress also flood these individuals and leave them hiding the consequences of problem gambling, exacerbating relationship difficulties and preventing them from seeking needed supports. Family members and other loved ones often do not know the extent of the gambler’s behaviors or debt. Over the past year, 76% of 888-ADMIT-IT HelpLine contacts reported the presence of family conflict, and 52% indicated family neglect as a result of problem gambling, with some also experiencing domestic violence and abuse [1]. It is imperative to understand that for every case of problem gambling, an average of 8-10 additional people are affected — often those closest to the gambler.  Research published in the Asian Journal of Gambling Issues and Public Health found that the negative effects of their partner’s gambling problems centered on four key areas — financial loss, emotional distress, impairment of mental and physical health, and erosion of their relationship [2]. Complicating matters further, the COVID-19 pandemic is causing heightened levels of emotional distress and mental health impacts across the population, leaving those suffering from this hidden addiction even more vulnerable. HelpLine data shows that a large percentage of problem gamblers are experiencing significant anxiety (68%) and depression (67%), with more than one in five admitting to suicidal thoughts (22%) and an appreciable number (13%) reporting neurological disorders. These mental health issues understandably extend to family members and loved ones.  The good news is that help and hope can be found through the 24/7, Confidential, and Multilingual 888-ADMIT-IT HelpLine for anyone in need, including loved ones. The HelpLine can also be reached by texting 321-978-0555, starting a live chat at gamblinghelp.org, emailing fccg@gamblinghelp.org, and messaging the FCCG on social media. Get connected to the resources that make a difference, including referrals to certified treatment providers! March is Problem Gambling Awareness Month March is Problem Gambling Awareness Month (PGAM), a grassroots effort to raise awareness about gambling disorder, classified by the American Psychiatric Association as a behavioral addiction, that impacts millions of Floridians who struggle directly with gambling related difficulties or are adversely affected by a loved one’s gambling problem. This year, our campaign theme is Shine the Light on Problem Gambling: Changing the Game. During this past year, the world has been forced to grapple with crippling impacts caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic. Many Florida residents, like many Americans, are struggling given the unforeseen consequences resulting from the pandemic. For disordered gamblers and their families, the effects of the virus can exacerbate already serious financial, psychological, legal, and other problems caused by gambling. Click here to learn more about PGAM and join the movement in raising awareness about the issue of problem gambling and the help and hope available through the 24/7, Confidential, and Multilingual Problem Gambling HelpLine! [1]  24-Hour Problem Gambling HelpLine Annual Report., 2020 ed., The Florida Council on Compulsive Gambling, Inc., 2020, 24-Hour Problem Gambling HelpLine Annual Report. [2] Abbott, M., DA. Abbott, S., Boyatzis, R., V. Braun, V., EM. Chan, A., Charmaz, K., . . . Volberg, R. (1970, January 01). Impacts of gambling problems on partners: Partners’ interpretations. Retrieved February 11, 2021, from https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/2195-3007-3-11
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Warriors Teammate Praises Steph Curry and Draymond Green’s Hall of Fame IQ
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After a bumpy start to the 2020-21 NBA season, the Golden State Warriors are getting back in form. They made several changes to their roster in the offseason and it took some time for the players to settle in. But with the All-Star break almost here, the Dubs are looking consistent. The credit for their newfound success goes to none other than their veteran duo of Steph Curry and Draymond Green. Recently, the two stars flaunted their skills against the Cavaliers in a comfortable 129-98 victory. Curry continued his hot scoring streak with 36 points against the Cavs. On the other hand, Green handled the facilitating duties for the team as he finished the game with 16 assists. The two stars have shouldered the burden for the team in the absence of Klay Thompson. But can the Warriors go all the way and win another championship? We will find out in the coming months. Steph Curry and Draymond Green: The two pillars for the Golden State Warriors Golden State Warriors forward Kent Bazemore (26) and forward Juan Toscano-Anderson (95) and guard Stephen Curry (30) and forward Draymond Green (23) during the game between the Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY SportsFollowing this sensational victory, Juan Toscano-Anderson gave an interesting post-game interview. He said: “I am a beneficiary of these guys, their hall of fame IQ. You know Draymond [Green] had 16 assists today and that’s amazing from our starting center. Last five games, he’s in double digits assists. … Either Steph [Curry] is open or Imma be open. “I’m aware that the defense ain’t gonna leave him so I just find those gaps and get those easy buckets. I know Draymond sees everything. Sometimes he sees it a little too quick before any of us see it, but it’s great to play with a guy like that.” Draymond Green has always been an amazing playmaker for the Dubs. Even during their stretch of dominance in the mid 2010s, he took on the role of a facilitator for their championship teams. This season, he is elevating his game further in that department. READ MORE | Steph Curry and LeBron James Ready to Move On From Intense Rivalry But is this enough for the Warriors to win another championship? Feel free to share your thoughts. Get notified about breaking news and watch highlights on the go; join the Arena on NBA Hoops
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Pakistan Tour of South Africa: Three CWC Super League ODIs and four T20Is in April
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Follow Us On Pakistan and South Africa have announced the schedule for the limited-overs series in April, comprising three ICC Cricket World Cup Super League ODIs and four T20Is. The tour is scheduled to run from 02 April to 16 April 2021, with Pakistan arriving in South Africa on 26 March before the first game when they will enter a bio-secure environment (BSE) in Gauteng. They will go into a period of quarantine before commencing with inter-squad training. Pakistan’s tour of South Africa was initially scheduled to comprise just three T20Is, but after a request from Cricket South Africa, the series will now comprise four T20Is, with the first two matches being played in Johannesburg, followed by two T20Is in Pretoria. Before the T20Is get underway on 10 April, a three-match ODI series will be played between the sides from 2 April. A part of the Men’s CWC Super League, the first and third ODIs will be played in Pretoria, with Johannesburg hosting the second ODI on 4 April. “We are delighted to finally confirm the dates and full schedule for Pakistan’s white-ball tour to South Africa,” commented CSA Director of Cricket, Graeme Smith. “Pakistan has proved their status over the years as one of the most dangerous limited-overs teams and I’m sure they will give the Proteas a stern test on the Highveld. We will also have the much-anticipated ‘Betway Pink ODI’ take place during the tour and that is something further to look forward to for the players, the fans and all those associated with this iconic day,” he added. “We are grateful to the PCB for agreeing to our request within a short period of time to increase the length of the trip by adding in a fourth T20, which will give us some much-needed additional international content,” he said. PCB Director of International Cricket, Zakir Khan added, “We are delighted to help assist our fellow member countries in their plight to survive. We all have a collective responsibility to look after the game and its welfare together as ICC Members.” “South Africa and Pakistan’s relationship is a long-standing and mutually valued one, and it was an easy decision for us to accommodate their request. We’re all looking forward to a successful tour,” he added. Pakistan Tour of South Africa Schedule 2 April: 1st ODI, Supersport Park, Pretoria  4 April: 2nd ODI, Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg  7 April: 3rd ODI, SuperSport Park, Pretoria  10 April: 1st T20I, Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg  12 April: 2nd T20I, Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg  14 April: 3rd T20I, SuperSport Park, Pretoria  16 April: 4th T20I, SuperSport Park, Pretoria
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Criticisms of Michael Slepian’s Stanford study on poker tells and hand movements (published 2015)
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Some places the study was featured. The following is reposted from a 2015 piece I wrote for Bluff magazine. It was originally located at this URL but has become unavailable due to Bluff going out of business. I saw this study mentioned recently in Maria Konnikova’s book ‘The Biggest Bluff’ and was reminded about this piece and noticed it was offline, so I wanted to share it again. A few notes on this piece: The original title below and was more negative-sounding than I liked; Bluff chose it. Also, if I could rewrite this piece now, I’d probably choose less negative-sounding phrasing in some places.  Regardless of the exact factors that might be at work in the found correlation, I realize it’s scientifically interesting that a significant correlation was found. But I also think it’s possible to draw simplistic and wrong conclusions from the study, and my piece hopefully gives more context about the factors that might be at work. Image on left taken from Michael Slepian’s media page. The Slepian Study on Betting Motions Doesn’t Pass Muster A 2013 study¹ conducted at Stanford University by graduate student Michael Slepian and associates found a correlation between the “smoothness” of a betting motion and the strength of the bettor’s hand. In a nutshell, there was a positive correlation found between betting motions perceived as “smooth” and “confident” and strong hands. The quality of the betting motions was judged by having experiment participants watch short clips of players making bets (taken from the 2009 WSOP Main Event) and estimate the hand strength of those bets. This experiment has gotten a lot of press over the last couple years. I first heard about it on NPR. Since, I’ve seen it referenced in poker blogs and articles and in a few mainstream news articles. I still occasionally hear people talk about it at the table when I play. I’ve had friends and family members reference it and send me links to it. It’s kind of weird how much attention it received, considering the tons of interesting studies that are constantly being done, but I guess it can be chalked up to the mystique and “sexiness” of poker tells. The article had more than casual interest for me. I’m a former professional poker player and the author of two books on poker behavior: Reading Poker Tells and Verbal Poker Tells. I’ve been asked quite a few times about my opinion on this study, and I’ve been meaning to look at the study more closely and write up my thoughts for a while. In this article, I’ll give some criticisms of the study and some suggestions for how this study (and similar studies) could be done better. This isn’t to denigrate the work of the experiment’s designers. I think this is an interesting study, and I hope it will encourage similar studies using poker as a means to study human behavior. But I do think it was flawed in a few ways, and it could be improved in many ways. That’s not to say that I think their conclusion is wrong; in fact, in my own experience, I think their conclusion is correct. I do, however, think it’s a very weak general correlation and will only be practically useful if you have a player-specific behavioral baseline. My main point is that this study is not enough, on its own, to cause us to be confident about the conclusion. I’ll give a few reasons for why I think the study is flawed, but the primary underlying reason is a common one for studies involving poker: the study’s organizers just don’t know enough about how poker works. I’ve read about several experiments involving poker where the organizers were very ignorant about some basic aspects of poker, and this affected the way the tests were set up and the conclusions that were reached (and this probably applies not just to poker-related studies but to many studies that involve an activity that requires a lot of experience to understand well). Poker can seem deceptively simple to people first learning it, and even to people who have played it for decades. Many bad players lose money at poker while believing that they’re good, or even great players. In the same way, experiment designers may falsely believe they understand the factors involved in a poker hand, while being far off the mark. Here are the flaws, as I see them, in this study: 1. The experimenters refer to all WSOP entrants as ‘professional poker players.’ This first mistake wouldn’t directly affect the experiment, but it does point to a basic misunderstanding of poker and the World Series of Poker, which might indirectly affect other aspects of the experiment and its conclusions. Here are a couple examples of this from the study: The World Series of Poker (WSOP), originating in 1970, brings together professional poker players every year (from the study’s supplemental materials) These findings are notable because the players in the stimulus clips were highly expert professionals competing in the high-stakes WSOP tournament. The WSOP Main Event is open to anyone and most entrants are far from being professional poker players. Categorizing someone’s poker skill can be difficult and subjective, but Kevin Mathers, a long-time poker industry worker, estimates that only 20% of WSOP Main Event entrants are professional (or professional-level) players. This also weakens the conclusion that the results are impressive due to the players analyzed being professional-level. While the correlation found in this experiment is still interesting, it is somewhat expected that amateur players would have behavioral inconsistencies. I’d be confident in predicting that a similar study done on only video clips of bets made by professional poker players would not find such a clear correlation. 2. Hand strength is based on comparing players’ hands This is a line from the study that explains their methodology for categorizing a player’s hand as ‘weak’ or ‘strong’: Each player’s objective likelihood of winning during the bet was known (WSOP displays these statistics on-screen; however, we kept this information from participants by obscuring part of the screen). They relied on the on-screen percentage graphics, which are displayed beside a player’s hand graphics in the broadcast. These graphics show the likelihood of a player’s hand winning; it does this by comparing it to the other players’ known hands. This makes it an illogical way to categorize whether a player believes he is betting a weak or strong hand. If this isn’t clear, here’s a quick example to make my point: A player has QQ and makes an all-in bet on a turn board of Q-10-10-8. Most people would say that this player has a strong hand and has every reason to believe he has a strong hand. But, if his opponent had 10-10, the player with Q-Q would have a 2.27% chance of winning with one card to come. According to this methodology, the player with the Q-Q would be judged as having a weak hand; if the test participants categorized that bet as representing a strong hand, they would be wrong. It’s not stated in the study or the supplemental materials if the experimenters accounted for such obvious cases of how using the percentage graphics might skew the results. It’s also not stated how the experimenters would handle river (last-round) bets, when one hand has a 100 percent winning percentage and the losing hand has 0 percent (the only exception would be a tie). It’s admittedly difficult to come up with hard-and-fast rules for categorizing hand strength for the purposes of such an experiment. As someone who has thought more than most about this problem, for the purpose of analyzing and categorizing poker tells, I know it’s a difficult task. But using the known percentages of one hand beating another known hand is clearly a flawed approach. The optimal approach would probably be to come up with a system that pits a poker hand against a logical hand range, considering the situation, or even a random hand range, and uses that percentage-of-winning to rank the player’s hand strength. If this resulted in too much hand-strength ambiguity, the experiment designers could throw out all hands where the hand strength fell within a certain medium-strength range. Such an approach would make it more likely that only strong hand bets and weak hand bets were being used and, equally important for an experiment like this, that the player believed he or she was betting either a strong or weak hand. 3. Situational factors were not used to categorize betting motions When considering poker-related behavior, situations are very important. A small continuation-bet on the flop is different in many ways from an all-in bet on the river. One way they are different: a small bet is unlikely to cause stress in the bettor, even if the bettor has a weak hand. Also, a player making a bet on an early round has a chance for improving his hand; whereas a player betting on the river has no chance to improve his hand. When a player bets on the river, he will almost always know whether he is bluffing or value-betting; this is often not the case on earlier rounds, when hand strength is more ambiguous and undefined. This experiment had no system for selecting the bets they chose for inclusion in the study. The usability of the clips was apparently based only on whether the clip meant certain visual needs of the experiment: i.e., did the footage show the entirety of the betting action and did it show the required amount of the bettor’s body? From the study: Research assistants, blind to experimental hypotheses, extracted each usable video in each installment, and in total extracted 22 videos (a standard number of stimuli for such studies; Ambady & Rosenthal, 1993) for Study 2 in the main text. Study 1 videos required a single player be in the frame from the chest-up, allowing for whole-body, face-only, and arms-only videos to be created by cropping the videos. These videos were therefore more rare, and the research assistants only acquired 20 such videos. The fact that clips were chosen only based on what they showed is not necessarily a problem. If a hand can be accurately categorized as strong or weak, then it doesn’t necessarily matter when during a hand it occurred. If there is a correlation between perceived betting motion quality and hand strength, then it will probably make itself known no matter the context of the bet. Choosing bets only from specific situations would have made the experiment stronger and probably would have led to more definite conclusions. It could also help address the problem of categorizing hand strength. For example, if the experiment designers had only considered bets above a certain size that had occurred on the river (when all cards are out and there are no draws or semi-bluffs to be made), then that would result in polarized hand strengths (i.e., these bets would be very likely to be made with either strong or weak hands). Also, the experiment’s method for picking clips sounds like it could theoretically result in all strong-hand bets being picked, or all weak-hand bets being picked. There is nothing in the experiment description that requires a certain amount of weak hands or strong hands. This is not in itself bad, but could affect the experiment in unforeseen ways. For example, if most of the betting motion clips chosen were taken from players betting strong hands (which would not be surprising, as most significant bets, especially post-flop, are for value), then this could introduce some unforeseen bias into the experiment. One way this might happen: when a video clip shows only the betting motion (and not, for example, the bettor’s entire torso or just the face, as were shown to some study groups), this focus might emphasize the bet in the viewer’s mind and make the bet seem stronger. And if most of the hands-only betting clips were of strong-hand bets (and I have no idea how many were), the study participants watching only the hand-motion betting clips would falsely appear to be making good guesses. My main point here is that thinking about the situational factors of a betting motion, and incorporating that into the experiment in some way, would have resulted in less ambiguity about the results. (It appears that it was difficult to find usable clips from a single WSOP event; in that case, the experimenters could just add footage from another WSOP Main Event to the study.) 4. The number of chips bet was not taken into account The experiment designers did not take into account the chips that were bet. In their words: During betting, each player pushes poker chips into the center of the table. Each chip has a specific color, which indicates a specific value. These values range from $25 to $100,000. This range of chip values has a crucial consequence for the current work. The number of chips does not correlate with the quality of the hand (see Table 1A in the main text). Players could move a stack of 20 chips into the center of the table, and this could be worth $500 or $2,000,000 (the winner of the 2009 WSOP won $8,547,042, thus the latter bet magnitude is a bet that can be made in the WSOP). Because no participants were professional poker players, nor considered themselves poker experts, they were not aware of chip values. They could not, then, use the number of chips as a valid cue to judge poker hand quality. It’s true that your average person would not know what the chip colors at the WSOP Main Event mean. But it seems naïve to think that seeing the chips being bet couldn’t possibly have an effect on the experiment. For one thing, the number of chips being bet could bias a participant to think a bet was stronger or weaker, whether correctly or incorrectly. What if all the strong-hand bets in the study were also bets that involved a lot of chips? (This is not implausible because smaller bets with weak hands are common early in a hand, when bets are small, whereas larger bets later in the hand are more likely to represent strong hands.) And what if some of the study participants were able to deduce (consciously or unconsciously) the strength of the bet from the number of chips? Also, it’s possible that some of the test participants were knowledgeable (consciously or not) about some WSOP chip colors and what their denominations were. Or they were able to deduce (consciously or not), from the arrangement and number of chips, what the chip values were. (For example, large denomination chips are generally required to be kept at the front of a player’s stack.) Again, this could have been addressed by selecting bets taken only from specific situations and only of certain bet sizes. If all bets chosen were above a certain bet size, and this was communicated to the study participants, then this would have lessened the impact of the chips being able to be seen. 5. Quality of “smoothness” was subjective The experiment was based on the perceptions of study participants watching the assembled video clips. It was not based on objective measurements of what constitutes “smoothness” of a betting motion. This was a known issue in the experiment: Thus, both player confidence and smoothness judgments significantly predicted likelihoods of winning, which suggests that movement smoothness might be a valid cue for assessing poker hand quality. It is unknown, however, how participants interpreted “smoothness” or whether the players’ movements that participants rated as smooth were truly smoother than other players’ movements. Other physical factors, such as speed, likely played a role. This is not a major criticism; I think using perception is a fine way to find a correlation, especially for a preliminary study. But I think it does mean that we have no reason to be confident in the idea that smoothness of betting motion is correlated with hand strength. If there is are correlations between betting motion and hand strength (which I believe there are), these could be due to other aspects of arm motion or hand motion, such as: the betting speed, the position of the hands, the height of the hand, or other, more obscure, factors. In summary Again, I don’t mean to denigrate the experiment designers and the work they’ve done. I think this was an interesting experiment, and I think it’s probable the correlation they noticed exists (however weak the correlation may be). Also, as someone who is very interested in poker behavior, I’d love to see similar studies be done. My main goal in writing these criticisms and suggestions was to emphasize that poker is complex, as is poker behavior. There are many behavioral factors in a seemingly simple hand of poker and taking these factors into account can make an experiment stronger and the results more conclusive. Patricia Cardner, PhD, EdD, is a poker player and the author of Positive Poker, a book about the psychological characteristics of professional poker players. She had this to say about poker’s use in scientific studies: “While researchers often have the best of intentions, it is difficult for them to fully understand the nuances of poker. Researchers who reach out to poker players for help can make more informed decisions about the research areas they choose to pursue, increase reliability and validity, and improve the overall quality of their results and conclusions.” ¹: Slepian, M.L., Young, S.G., Rutchick, A.M. & Ambady, N. Quality of Professional Players’ Poker Hands Is Perceived Accurately From Arm Motions. Psychological Science (2013) 24(11) 2335–2338. Related
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I’m starving to death
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 and heres the reason why. ive got no food in my hotel room, and its too late at night to buy groceries and i forgot to stop at a convenience store enroute home. this is why i hate the fact theres no 24 hour walmarts no more since the virus. And i dont want to get back out of bed. i bought a little food when i took this hotel room for 3 nights, when i had to check out of my other airbnb. (i had been doing one month at a time and someone had it booked up for moving in mid february so i couldnt renew for another month). i didnt buy quite enough, i wouldve bought more, but the fridge was so small it didnt have a freezer. i dont want to say which hotel im at of course, but i thought this was a far nicer brand because in many cities, this chain would be over $100. but i paid $209 for 3 nights. still thats high paying by the day, because if 3 days is $209, guess how much that makes 30 days when u add a zero. not only did i not buy enough food since i didnt have a freezer to store burritos and frozen meals, the shower will not work properly because i cant adjust the water to make it hotter so its not too cold. i cant imagine anyone not wanting to use hot water for a shower. only thing that does work really well in here is the wifi. and some (but i doubt 52 social but maybe im wrong) will be closed monday, due to very cold icy lousy winter weather which is unheard of here in texas. its rarely below 40 in the winter and certainly no snow this far south. but we are supposed to be 14 degrees monday. Kerrville TX, a couple hundred miles or more further west, is only going to be 7 degrees. no one is used to driving on ice so there will be hundreds of accidents hopefully not as bad in the terrible one in fort worth the other day all over the news which involved 100 vehicles and multiple deaths. i dont think id have an easy time finding an Uber that day to buy food without huge surcharges. local schools are closing. a lot of texas will have ice and snow, theres winter storm warnings for almost the entire state. now about that hand i promised to share on twitter in this blog, i had made so many rebuys and addons due to not getting any hands and starting to get tired since id played at a different casino for 3-4 hours earlier, id totally lost track of how much money i was in for and i dont normally do that, but i wouldnt know til i got home and read the paper listing the amount of cash i had when i left my room. id just got done adding on a few more hundred and had a bit less than $500 in front of me when the following hand occured. a guy makes it $15 that id seen capable of folding the other day when i reraised big preflop. one guy called and i decided to make it $70 with Q4 of clubs in late position, and we are deep stacked, all 3 of us. the only thing i have working for me is my tight image and position, and of course i am very much on tilt and want to quit the game, but sure not when im stuck.one guy called. the original raiser. flop comes 225 or 255. i dont even remember. all i remember is i bet but not the amount i bet. and he called me. Turn comes 3 which improved my hand slightly to a draw, but no flush draw. i remember betting $150 and he thinks and then goes allin. turns out later he has 99. i guess he read my tilted image well.we agree to run it twice, and i hit the A on top for a straight, and a Q on the bottom for two pair and i scooped the pot where i doubled up and cashed out $1036 and left due to the fact i couldnt play worth a shit and knew id got unstuck. turned out when i got home i was up over $300.a little more than i thought i was. Since i was up over $180 at one point before i got stuck, i felt stuck more than i actually was. i thought i was only up about $200 after winning the pot. 
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Al Jazira masterplan to break cycle of boom and bust should be lauded throughout Middle East
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Nothing is guaranteed in football. The cycle of success and – relative – failure is unrelenting, even for the most richly resourced sides. Al Hilal’s rollercoaster 2020/21 has exemplified this in Saudi Arabia, while Manchester City’s current British record 15-match winning run was preceded by a period in which Pep Guardiola received repeat questioning. There are means, however, to mitigate this. Enter Al Jazira. The Pride of Abu Dhabi are yet to sit top this term. Indeed, they’ve only claimed two Arabian Gulf League titles in their entire 46-year existence. But structural changes at the Mohammed bin Zayed Stadium-outfit act as an exemplar to all clubs throughout the Middle East. Identify a strategy for “sustainable sporting success” and unavoidable spells of boom and bust can be tempered. This requires a thoughtful methodology for how a thread can be run through from the academy to the first team, plus an exacting analysis of how foreign recruits are identified. Such a blueprint is vital in European competitions. Barcelona’s exalted La Masia stands at the summit. But its importance should be amplified further in AFC leagues where transfer business is more-heavily restricted. It is an uphill struggle to claim AGL supremacy without a foundation of exceptional Emirati players. Four open-age foreigners and up to six Under-21 resident players split between the first team and U-21s are permitted, with a mix of six in any match-day squad, yet they can only do so much. With this fact in mind, competition for the best domestic players is intense – and expensive. It is more prudent to take a long-term view and produce as many as you can in-house. Recent results have been enormously encouraging for Jazira. The 23 top-flight goals struck by their Emiratis – a collection of purchases and home-grown – in 2020/21 is 10 more than nearest contemporaries Al Wasl. UAE boss Bert van Marwijk’s current 25-man training camp is dominated by a seven-strong Jazira contingent, two more than Al Wahda’s five, with only injury to utility defender Mohammed Al Attas preventing it from being eight. This cohort is so strong that they finished the first half of the campaign in second spot, despite being the only competitors to hire three senior foreigners. A situation remedied late in the winter transfer market by Curacao winger Brandley Kuwas’ loan move from Al Nasr. The agent-led approach utilised by many, but not all, sides is diametrically opposed to that found at the MBZ. Also teams who empower whichever head coach is in charge at the time, meaning squad demands are at the whim of a revolving door of individuals who may possess vastly different needs and tactical frameworks. It is, of course, not the first time such a forward-thinking structure has been attempted in the region. Far from it. Jazira, themselves, endured an unfulfilled stint with former Brescia, West Ham United and Watford technical director Gianluca Nani at the helm between December 2015 and August 2016. Neither are they the only side currently wedded to this. Little more than an hour’s car journey away is Al Ain and their sporting director David Platt, among others. The 2018/19 Saudi Professional League champions Al Nassr have, also, tried to corner the domestic market. Rarely has this outlook been crystalized in such a transparent manner. They believe, and justifiably so judged by recent results, that the master plan sporting director Mads Davidsen was entrusted to formulate since his June hiring by a forward-thinking board of directors will enrich the club competitively and financially. It cements a process initiated in 2015, from which an unbroken series of similarly minded Dutch managers have been encouraged to entrust home-grown players. Foreign buys are tailored to consistent wants. The, eventual, succession from cultured Morocco centre midfielder Mbark Boussoufa to South Africa metronome Thulani Serero is just one example. Prominent youngsters Abdullah Ramadan, Khalifa Al Hammadi and Al Attas were given their debuts before Davidsen’s procurement. Yet the Dane is in place to ensure prospects such as Ahmed Fawzi and Hazza Subait – who boast 20 goals between them in this term’s U-21 AGL – are given the best chance of following them. There are many others underneath this pair, too. Jazira’s last trophy was the 2016/17 AGL, while they are absent from the AFC Champions League since 2018. A course, though, has been set to become – in Davidsen’s words – “a top club in the UAE and a top club in Asia”, without incurring unaffordable costs. Others should think about how they can join them. Know more about Sport360 Application
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‘It’s been a long process’: T-Wolves’ Towns returns from COVID vs. Clippers
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MINNEAPOLIS -- Kawhi Leonard had a season-high 36 points and Lou Williams added 27 points off the bench as the Los Angeles Clippers defeated Minnesota 119-112 on Wednesday night and spoiled the return of Timberwolves star Karl-Anthony Towns. Leonard and Williams hit shots down the stretch, including a pair of late 3-pointers by Leonard, to thwart Minnesota's comeback try. Los Angeles snapped its first two-game losing streak of the season. After trailing by six at halftime, the Clippers outscored Minnesota 33-20 in the third quarter as Los Angeles pulled away. "We kind of turned it up in that second quarter and third quarter," Leonard said. "We needed a better fourth quarter, but I'm happy we got the win." Towns had 18 points and 10 rebounds in his return to action after missing 13 games. Towns announced on Jan. 15 that he tested positive for COVID-19 and remained on the league's health and safety protocol list until Wednesday, when coach Ryan Saunders said Towns was a game-time decision. "I thought he competed," Saunders said. "His wind was good; 18 and 10 coming back from a layoff like he did was a good night for him." Towns detailed his bout with COVID in his postgame comments, noting that underlying conditions made his battle with the virus especially tough. His mother, Jacqueline, died from virus complications last April. "I'm a high-risk case. COVID did not treat me well whatsoever," Towns said. ``A lot of scary nights. My dad called me 24/7.'' Wednesday was Towns' first game in nearly a month. He last played on Jan. 13. "I was just smiling on the court, even when it got to the end, because I was just so proud of myself to get to this point," Towns said. "It's been a long process." Naz Reid led Minnesota with 23 points off the bench, and Malik Beasley added 21. The Timberwolves have lost three in a row and eight of 10. Minnesota led by as many as 13 points in the first half before watching its lead disappear. The Timberwolves' bench built up the first-half lead behind strong efforts from Jaylen Nowell and rookie Jaden McDaniels. Trailing at the half, the Clippers used an 11-3 run to take the lead early in the third quarter. Leonard scored 10 of Los Angeles' 33 points in the third and the Clippers carried an eight-point lead into the fourth quarter. "There's a reason they're the best third-quarter team in the league," Saunders said. "They came out and they played like a team that's a championship contender.'' Patrick Beverley returned for the Clippers following an eight-game absence with a right knee injury. Beverley started Wednesday's game and finished with six points The Clippers welcomed back Beverley's vocal leadership on the court, something they missed while he was out. "It was good seeing Pat back out there," Lue said. "He's our emotional leader. Just seeing how hard he plays every night and competes, we needed that." While Towns was back for the Wolves, guard D'Angelo Russell remained sidelined with left leg soreness. Towns and Russell have played just five games together since Minnesota acquired Russell in a trade on Feb. 6, 2020. Russell remains day-to-day. TIP-INS Clippers: Paul George missed his third straight game with a swollen right toe. George is second on the Clippers in scoring this year, averaging 24.4 points. ... Williams' 27 points were a season high. Timberwolves: McDaniels had four blocks in the first half, a career high. Reid posted his fourth career 20-point game and third of the season. UP NEXT Clippers: Los Angeles concludes its short trip Friday with a game in Chicago. The Clippers will be without Paul George again in Friday's game. Timberwolves: Minnesota heads on the road to take on Charlotte on Friday. It's the first of two meetings the Wolves have with the Hornets.
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Aus Open 2021 Live Updates: Nadal leads after first two sets against Mmoh
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Aus Open 2021 Live Updates: Nadal cruises into the third round- The World No. 2 Rafael Nadal has won the second-round contest against Michael Mmoh of USA in Australian Open 2021. The 34-year-old won the match 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 to progress into the third round. He is just two wins away to enter the quarter-final of the Aus Open 2021. The 20 times grand slam champion, Nadal, is eyeing record 21 titles in the grand slams. The Spaniard is currently levelled with Spanish Tennis Maestro Roger Federer (20 Grand Slams), the most number of titles in men’s singles.Nadal will make his 15th appearance in the third round of Australian Open on Saturday.The @RafaelNadal show rolls on 🥳Next stop: His 1️⃣5️⃣th #AusOpen third round.#AO2021 pic.twitter.com/iFDeMTvhR0— #AusOpen (@AustralianOpen) February 11, 2021Australian Open Live Updates: Kenin and Coco Gauff make exit, Tsitsipas wins in 5 setsNadal has only one Australian Open title his name, which he won back in 2009. He lost the Aus Open final last year to Novak Djokovic.Nadal had earlier entered the second round after he defeated Serbia’s Laslo Dere 6-3, 6-4 and 6-1 in the opening round match.Earlier today, defending Champion Sofia Kenin crashed out of the Australian Open 2021.Meanwhile, Karolina Pliskova, Ashley Barty, Belinda Bencic, Berrettini advanced into the third round of the Aus Open.Aus Open 2021 Day 5: Key players, time in India, where to watch, full schedule insideTop players like Novak Djokovic, Naomi Osaka, Serena Williams, Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev, among others, will play in the third round of the Aus Open 2021 on Day 5 of the Grand Slam tournament that is set to begin on Friday (Feb 12).The viewers can enjoy the live coverage of Aus Open on SONY SIX, SONY TEN2, SONY TEN3 and OTT platform SONY LIV in English and Hindi.
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